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The US Congressional Elections in 2006: What Implicatiuns for US Trade Policy?

Author
Simon Evenett & Michael Meier
Organisation
University of St. Gallen, Switzerland
Publication Date
14 November 2006
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The recent U.S. Congressional elections assumed considerable importance for trade negotiators because it is thought that, even if significant progress were made on the Doha Round negotiations in early 2007, Congress would need to extend the U.S. President's Trade Promotion Authority (TPA) to allow the Round to be completed. Much turns on how the newcomers to the U.S. House and Senate are expected to vote. In this note the authors examine the stance taken by the 62 individuals who won their elections to the House or Senate for the first time. They compared their stance on trade policy matters during their election campaigns with the incumbents that they will soon replace. Their analysis, therefore, takes account of every known case where a seat changed hands and not just the cases where a Democrat replaced a Republican office holder.

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